I highly doubt that Iran would act against the US in the coming months based on the current global situation.
0.355411
Relative Brier Score
17
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Future Bowl,
Mission: Diplomacy,
Semiconductor Supply Chain,
Iran Nuclear Program,
Iran-VNSAs
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 11, 2023 05:15PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2%
Yes
Nov 11, 2023 to May 11, 2024
98%
No
Nov 11, 2023 to May 11, 2024
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
45%
Less than or equal to 24
32%
Between 25 and 34, inclusive
10%
Between 35 and 44, inclusive
4%
Between 45 and 54, inclusive
9%
More than or equal to 55
Autonomous vehicles get smarter everyday. Thanks Elon!
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
99%
No
While Australia may feel economically threatened by Taiwan, this threat is not so grave that it would warrant a response as severe as issuing a Level 3 or 4 travel warning to the country.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
(-23%)
Yes
The situation in Iran has calmed down a lot since my last forecast. There are a lot fewer protests now than there were earlier in the year.
Files
I highly doubt after Israeli aggression in the occupied region of Palestine that any Muslim-majority country would want to formalize diplomatic relations with Israel in the near future.