riajurado

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0.873803

Relative Brier Score

19

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

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Forecasts 0 0 11 10 19
Comments 0 0 0 0 0
Questions Forecasted 0 0 8 8 9
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 0
 Definitions


New Prediction

This is a developing situation with conflicting information. As of today, May 1, 2024, it's difficult to say definitively whether Microsoft will announce a closure or relocation by the end of the year.

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New Prediction

No, it's very unlikely that the price of dysprosium oxide will reach $1000 per kg before July 1st, 2024. Here's why:


Current Price Trend: As of May 1, 2024, the price is nowhere near $1000. According to publicly available data, the high price in 2023 was $304 per kg.

Timeframe is Short: A significant price increase within the next two months is improbable.

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New Prediction

The war in Gaza has boosted recruits for the Yemeni group. But it has also complicated hopes for peace in Yemen.

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New Prediction
riajurado
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0%
Less than $90
37%
More than or equal to $90 but less than $100
32%
More than or equal to $100 but less than $110
14%
More than or equal to $110 but less than $120
17%
More than or equal to $120

We expect the Brent crude oil price will average $82 per barrel (b) in 2024 and $79/b in 2025, close to the 2023 average of $82/b. Our forecast for relatively little price change is based on expectations that global supply and demand of petroleum liquids will be relatively balanced.

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New Prediction
riajurado
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Apr 6, 2024 02:46PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
50% (0%)
Yes
Mar 6, 2024 to Sep 6, 2024
50% (0%)
No
Mar 6, 2024 to Sep 6, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction

In June 2023, rumors surfaced that Microsoft planned to close or relocate MSRA, sparking concerns.

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New Prediction

The rate of exoplanet discovery has been steadily increasing in recent years. In 2023 alone, over 500 new exoplanets were identified. This progress is largely driven by advancements in telescope technology and data analysis methods.

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riajurado
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

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