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157th
Accuracy Rank

Aadebamiwa77

Abidemi Adebamiwa
About:
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10.513732

Relative Brier Score

789

Forecasts

25

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 9 46 349 268 789
Comments 0 0 3 3 61
Questions Forecasted 9 38 74 58 146
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 4 8 6 25
 Definitions


New Prediction
Aadebamiwa77
made their 7th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
4% (0%)
Yes
Sep 30, 2024 to Mar 30, 2025
96% (0%)
No
Sep 30, 2024 to Mar 30, 2025

I am sticking with the previous forecast because things have not changed in that region since the last time. 

Files
New Prediction
New Prediction
Aadebamiwa77
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
4% (0%)
Venezuela conducts a ground invasion of Guyana
4% (0%)
Venezuela attacks offshore Guyanese oil wells
1% (0%)
Venezuela relinquishes its claim on Essequibo
1% (0%)
Guyana agrees to cede some or all of Essequibo

Nothing has really changed in the region other than the normal dictatorial and socialistic moves by the Venezuelan president, so I will stick to my previous forecast.  


https://apnews.com/article/venezuela-election-maduro-options-explainer-0c6cb224bd345dd71977fd756929111d#:~:text=The%20opposition%20says%20Gonz%C3%A1lez%20trounced

Files
New Prediction
Aadebamiwa77
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0%
Less than 24%
0%
More than or equal to 24% but less than 26%
22%
More than or equal to 26% but less than 28%
78%
More than or equal to 28%

I am joining the crowd and using the information on WSTS’ Historical Billings Report to forecast on this topic.

Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Aadebamiwa77
made their 12th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
2% (0%)
Kuwait
1% (0%)
Oman
1% (0%)
Qatar
2% (0%)
Saudi Arabia
1% (0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Aadebamiwa77
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Aadebamiwa77
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
51% (0%)
Togo
49% (0%)
Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations
Nothing has changed in that region, so I would stick to my previous forecast.
Files
Files
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