60th
Accuracy Rank

Rishab-Bhattarai

Rishab Bhattarai
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All Time Stats

0.578042

Relative Brier Score
13806200102030405060
Questions Forecasted
13626100102030405060
Scored Questions

967

Forecasts

43

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
LessMoreJanFebMarAprSuMoTuWeThFrSa
 
Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 716 64 967
Comments 0 0 25 10 32
Questions Forecasted 0 0 50 30 62
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 15 0 43
 Definitions

Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict, Iran: Threats & Influence, Science & Technology, Russia-Ukraine War, Artificial Intelligence

Most Active Topics:
Iran-VNSAs, Iran Nuclear Program, Open RAN, Mission: Diplomacy, Africa

New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
Rishab-Bhattarai made their 34th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1% (0%)
Yes
Mar 3, 2025 to Sep 3, 2025
99% (0%)
No
Mar 3, 2025 to Sep 3, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will Myanmar hold national elections before 1 July 2025?
Rishab-Bhattarai made their 36th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
3% (0%)
Yes
97% (0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
How many German-language disinformation cases originating in pro-Kremlin media will there be between 1 October 2024 and 30 September 2025?
Rishab-Bhattarai made their 7th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
3% (0%)
Less than or equal to 59
7% (0%)
Between 60 and 69, inclusive
28% (0%)
Between 70 and 79, inclusive
44% (0%)
Between 80 and 89, inclusive
18% (0%)
More than or equal to 90
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will the O-RAN Alliance’s specifications be integrated into 3GPP before 1 January 2027?
Rishab-Bhattarai made their 19th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
19% (0%)
Yes, 3GPP will adopt and integrate O-RAN Alliance specifications
78% (0%)
No, the O-RAN Alliance will continue to develop specifications independently of 3GPP
3% (0%)
No, the O-RAN Alliance will stop developing specifications without being integrated into 3GPP
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will Wagner Group or Africa Corps deploy to Togo or an additional African country before 1 January 2026?
Rishab-Bhattarai made their 11th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
18% (0%)
Togo
29% (0%)
Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa in the next six months?
Rishab-Bhattarai made their 11th forecast (view all):
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This forecast expired on Apr 1, 2025 07:38AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
46% (0%)
Yes
Mar 1, 2025 to Sep 1, 2025
54% (0%)
No
Mar 1, 2025 to Sep 1, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
 
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