98th
Accuracy Rank

Rishab-Bhattarai

Rishab Bhattarai
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All Time Stats

0.041089

Relative Brier Score

780

Forecasts

40

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 
Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 19 105 754 726 780
Comments 0 0 6 6 8
Questions Forecasted 19 41 60 55 62
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 1 37 21 40
 Definitions

Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict, Iran: Threats & Influence, Science & Technology, Russia-Ukraine War, Artificial Intelligence

Most Active Topics:
Iran-VNSAs, Iran Nuclear Program, Open RAN, Mission: Diplomacy, Africa

New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
In the next six months, will the Global Protest Tracker record an anti-government protest in Iran with 10,000 or more participants lasting at least a week?
Rishab-Bhattarai made their 33rd forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
7% (0%)
Yes
Nov 20, 2024 to May 20, 2025
93% (0%)
No
Nov 20, 2024 to May 20, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?
Rishab-Bhattarai made their 16th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
8% (0%)
Moldova
1% (0%)
Armenia
4% (0%)
Georgia
1% (0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
Rishab-Bhattarai made their 16th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
1% (0%)
Estonia
1% (0%)
Latvia
1% (0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will the Lebanese parliament elect a president in the next six months?
Rishab-Bhattarai made their 31st forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3% (0%)
Yes
Nov 20, 2024 to May 20, 2025
97% (0%)
No
Nov 20, 2024 to May 20, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
Rishab-Bhattarai made their 27th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1% (0%)
Yes
Nov 20, 2024 to May 20, 2025
99% (0%)
No
Nov 20, 2024 to May 20, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
Rishab-Bhattarai made their 9th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1% (0%)
Yes
Nov 20, 2024 to May 20, 2025
99% (0%)
No
Nov 20, 2024 to May 20, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Which of the following territorial developments between Venezuela and Guyana will occur before 1 August 2025?
Rishab-Bhattarai made their 9th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
5% (0%)
Venezuela conducts a ground invasion of Guyana
4% (0%)
Venezuela attacks offshore Guyanese oil wells
1% (0%)
Venezuela relinquishes its claim on Essequibo
1% (0%)
Guyana agrees to cede some or all of Essequibo
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Files
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